Ambode leads Agbaje in pre-election opinion poll

Akinwunmi Ambode

The latest opinion poll released by the NOI Polls, Tuesday, showed Akinwunmi Ambode, the All Progressives Congress, APC, candidate narrowly leading Jimi Agbaje, the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, candidate.

The survey, conducted in collaboration with ANAP Foundation, showed a close race between the two top gubernatorial aspirants.

There are 15 candidates vying for the gubernatorial ticket in Lagos State, but Messrs Ambode and Agbaje are the front runners.

When respondents were asked who they will be voting for in the election, according to the poll results, Mr. Ambode led the other candidates with 26 per cent, followed closely by Mr. Agbaje with 21 per cent.

“However, 50 percent of those polled are undecided as to their choice of candidate; and it is believed this significant proportion of voters would be critical in deciding who eventually wins the coveted seat,” the poll organizers said in a statement.

“The survey results also show that both candidates have strong support from eligible voters across all age groups. However, a significant proportion of first time voters aged between 18-21 years (64 per cent) are undecided as to their choice of candidate.”

According to the survey, nine in 10 eligible voters are registered to vote in the February elections, with the same number being absolutely certain they will vote.

Despite being mostly undecided, first time voters of between 18 to 21 years age group leads the majority of those who are absolutely certain they will vote.


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  • Funmi Erin

    @ Editor Sir,

    Jimi Agbaje is his own enemy

    Thank you for this newsreport. Those of us abroad were wondering how Lagos is playing out.
    Jimi Agbaje is his own un-doing. He’s arrogantly rejected the best and highly educated Lagosians,
    and he’s almost childishly turned this election into a beauty contest by believing he is better-looking.

    It’s no surprise that Jimi Agbaje’s campaign has no theme or focus, but desultory and airy-fairy so far.
    It may be that Jimi Agbaje is narcissistic but his campaign Managers should try to cure him of that bane.

    I am not surprised he’s still running behind. He lost his marbles when he failed to create a wide berth.
    A businessman shouldn’t be level-pegging with a civil servant at a televised public debate on commerce.
    Jimi Agbaje is not an intellectual, but that’s not a sin, until he slunk from having intellectuals around him.

    • Concerned Citizen

      “[On this clamour for a Christian as Lagos state governor]….
      we should not introduce something that will start affecting
      the consciousness of the people. We shouldn’t put
      in the people’s consciousness what they were not thinking
      about before. Even if you look at it closely you will find that
      the dominant people in Lagos state are Muslims”.

      ……..Alhaji Tola Kasali

      (Lagos Commissioner for Rural Affairs under Bola Tinubu)

      [October 25th, 2014]

      • B. Anjorin

        Concerned Citizen: You see now! This is why APC will lose Lagos governorship election.

        • Babandum

          So a former commissioner’s opinion is now the TRUTH!

          • Dave

            Yes, it is the truth, it reveals the mindset of APC in Lagos state as Islamist supremacists.

    • Georgy

      It’s okay, Jimi Agbaje has made mistakes, but you don’t have to expose it, just say the solution!

      • Adeola


        Oh, yes, i agree. Jimi Agbaje now needs talking to. He need be told he’s just a symbol.
        Few folks devoted their lives to create the tide for a total change of Lagos government.
        Jimi Agbaje didn’t create that tide. He’s just riding on it. He’ll need eat humble pie to know that.
        He should not mess up the valiant efforts of those who created this tide the way he’s going.

        • Orly

          In fact and to be honest, besides the intellectuals who created the tide you are talking about,
          the only politician in Lagos state who later joined to lend a hand was Alhaji Musiliu Obanikoro.

          • akindee


            Jimi Agbaje is not in any delusion, please. He knows the 21% he’s scoring of 50% of the voters
            today was not his own doing per se. He knows others did the swaying of voters since 2 years ago.
            What did he do or say since winning PDP primary in December to run close behind APC candidate?

          • Otunba Akindele


            Excuse me, since 50% of Lagosians polled are undecided, can this poll result not swing tomorrow?
            What i mean is this: of the 50% who have decided, 21% say they will vote for PDP while 26% say
            they will vote for APC. If the remainder 50% undecided voters later split exactly the same way, APC will win Lagos state by 52%, right, but that exact split will be extraordinary, wouldn’t it? In my own view, the PDP has to work harder to win over the 50% of these un-decided voters. If they are un-decided as at today it means that the PDP campaign does not convince them yet. That is the way i see it.

          • Concern

            Note, That 50% are those you call undecided voter are those afraid to be seen as sympathiser to Jimi, for the fear of been single out.
            Meanly Non Lagosians doing their own business in Lagos. I see Jimi walkin high with as much as 90% of Egbos, Calabers and other S/South and S.E Voter who live in Lagos. I call them Secret Voters.
            Very high percentage would also come from Ebeju Lekki, Ikorodu , Badagry and Apapa for Mr Agbaje
            Jimi would do as much as 30% in other area of Lagos, Given Him Victory over Ambode

  • Engr Michael Goodluck Bassey

    @ Editor
    Thisdayive is reporting a different news from the same poll. Is it a “molue journalism”?

    • Kayode

      No, you are wrong. Thisday reports the same 26% lead by Ambode.
      You PDP supporters must come to terms with this painful fact today.
      Jimi Agbaje has been putting 4 full-page adverts in 3 newspapers daily.
      But see the result, see him unable to displace a greenhorn from APC!

      • Abu Qaqa

        “We are fighting a religious war. We are fighting against the Christians in Nigeria.
        We are fighting against Christian President – Goodluck Jonathan and his Christian
        brethren. We are not fighting any ethnic war. Those saying we are fighting an ethnic
        war are telling lies to the public. They try to brainwash the people. No, we are fighting
        a religious war. We are fighting against Christians. We are fighting the Christian
        President – Goodluck Jonathan – and his Christian brethren”.

        .………..Abubakar Shekau

        (Leader of Boko Haram)

        December 28, 2013

        • Babandum

          Then why is he killing Muslims in the North?

          • Concern

            You must be lost. They is attacking Muslims for failing to kick out Christians away from the North. Look, ALL they want is a Christian free North. This also includes Prof Adebajo.

  • Adebenson

    link to this poll [please

  • taewo

    This ANAP/NOI poll is a trick to give the impression that the organizers are objective.

    Wait and see, they will soon tell you that jonathan is ahead of Buhari or running neck to neck. That is their main mission.

  • The NOI polls is Ngozi Okonjo Iweala Polls- NOI. It is the samething as AIT polls.

  • Ajayi Ifayemi

    Yeye polls! I can bet the difference between Ambode and Agbaje is a landslide. What kind of poll has 50% of the people still undecided three weeks from the election. If you believe this poll, you will believe anything.

    • Adeseye Awodehin


      It’s possible for 50% of Lagosians to be un-decided if the two major candidates
      (Agbaje of PDP and Ambode of APC) are not making any sense to the voters.

      • Ajayi Ifayemi

        Nothing is impossible. However in this case, we no it is a game.

  • Eze1

    NOI again…..Poll or No Poll, AA will win in a landslide. Lagos State is not for a Learner Period.

  • hummm

    In short the election is a dead heat. Good , let them work for the votes

  • burning spear

    THIS IS HOW APC intends to rig the elections they did it with similar polls in osun state—-trying to prepare the minds of gullible Nigerians to their rigging machine

  • Omooba Adekunle Orafidiya

    Fake opinion poll. Agbaje will win hands down.

  • Adavize Alao

    Yes oo Our Governor Ambode