#NigeriaDecides: Buhari on hard-won path to historic victory

Muhammadu Buhari

‎Barring any last-minute invalidation of votes, the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress is projected to win Saturday’s presidential election.

Although only results from 18 states and the Federal Capital Territory have been officially released by the Independent National Electoral Commission, vote tallies by PREMIUM TIMES from the remaining 18 states indicate that Mr. Buhari will triumph over his Peoples Democratic Party’s challenger, President Goodluck Jonathan.

Our independent collation of results from Nigeria’s 36 states and Abuja suggests that Mr.  Buhari will win with over 14 million votes, representing about 55 percent of the vote.

We are also projecting Mr. Jonathan to garner over 11 million  votes, representing 44 percent of the votes.

Our analysis also shows that the APC candidate will earn the highest number of votes in 21 states while Mr. Jonathan will dominate proceedings in 15 states and Abuja.

Mr. Buhari will also meet the constitutional requirement to be declared President-elect by getting more than  one quarter of the votes in 27 states.

The APC candidate, our collation by states shows, will win in Adamawa, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Niger, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara.

 Mr. Jonathan on the other hand will prevail in Rivers, Plateau, Taraba, Nasarawa, Imo, Enugu, Ekiti, Edo, Delta, Ebonyi, Cross River, Bayelsa, Anambra, Akwa Ibom, Abia and the Federal Capital Territory (Abuja).

Our projection may have a margin of error, and only INEC is constitutionally empowered to declare a candidate winner of the election.

But if Mr. Buhari is eventually pronounced winner, he would be returning to power about 30 years after a military coup masterminded by Ibrahim Babangida, his then Army chief, sacked him as Nigeria’s military head of state.

He would also be making history as the first opposition candidate in Nigeria’s history to dislodge an incumbent President from power.

Before Saturday’s election, Mr. Buhari had contested for president in 2003 (as candidate of the defunct All Peoples Party, APP), in 2007 (as candidate of the defunct All Nigeria Peoples Party, ANPP) and in 2011 (as candidate of the defunct Congress for Progressive Change, CPC).

Below are details of the result so far declared by INEC. The declaration of results from the remaining 18 states is scheduled to commence this morning.



AA: 94 ACPN: 534 APC: 120,331 CPP: 330 HDP: 94 KOWA: 108 NCP: 377 PDP: 176,466 PPN: 388 UDP:60 UPP: 145


TOTAL REG VOTERS:1,709,409 VALID VOTES: 533,172 VOTES CAST: 559,613 REJECTED VOTES:26,441 AA:584 AD:1,927 ACPN:3072 ADC:1364 APA:1930 APC:308,290 CPP:978 HOPE:332 KOWA:432 NCP:815 PDP:207,950 PPN:4,339 UDP:562 UPP:597


LGAs: 17 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,381,563 ACCR VOTERS: 616,112

AA:  433 AD:  269 ACPN:479 ADC: 478 APA: 715 APC: 14,157 CPP: 237 HOPE: 110 KOWA: 203NCP: 761 PDP: 553,003 PPN: 407 UDP: 1,623 UPP: 290


LGAs: 21 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,350,883 ACCR VOTERS: 476,839 AA:700 AD:427 ACPN:1089 ADC:761 APA:1001 APC:264,851 CPP:967 HOPE:144 KOWA:190 NCP:399 PDP:149,987 PPN:476 UDP:180 UPP:156


LGAs: 30 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS:1,378,113 ACCR VOTERS:683,169 AA:377AD:1667 ACPN:1731 ADC:937 APA:1306 APC:383,603 CPP:1029 HOPE:132 KOWA:255 NCP:767PDP:249,929 PPN:599 UDP:124 UPP:159


LGAs: 18 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,501,549 ACCR VOTERS: 618,040 AA:386 AD:1237 ACPN:2406 ADC:1227 APA:1139 APC:299,889 CPP:1012 HOPE:184 KOWA:223 NCP:846 PDP:251,368 PPN:734 UDP:184 UPP:221

Abuja FCT

LGAs: 6 Area Councils NO of POLITICAL PARTIES:14 REG. VOTERS:886,573 ACCR VOTERS:344,056 AA:139 AD:240 ACPN:342 ADC:288 APA:674 APC:146,399 CPP:347 HOPE:83 KOWA:165 NCP:473 PDP:157,195 PPN:269 UDP:95 UPP:96


LGAs:33 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 2,344,448 ACCR VOTERS: 1,073,849 AA:6331 AD:6282 ACPN:8979 ADC:5000 APA:4,468 APC:528,620 CPP:6,674 HOPE:839 KOWA:1,312 NCP:1895 PDP:303,376 PPN:2842 UDP:1069 UPP:3665


LGAs: 13 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,222,054 ACCR VOTERS: 562,959 AA:40 AD:74 ACPN:95 ADC:105 APA:310 APC:236,838 CPP:131 HOPE:4 KOWA:48 NCP:222 PDP:273,460 PPN:164 UDP:23 UPP:33


LGAs: 44 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 4,943,862 ACCR VOTERS: 2,364,434 AA:426 AD:708 ACPN:778 ADC:657 APA:2770 APC:1,903,999 CPP:1,552 HOPE:292 KOWA:288 NCP:697 PDP:215,779 PPN:485 UDP:234 UPP:156


LGAs: 37 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,815,839 ACCR VOTERS: 1,153,428 AA:394 AD:587 ACPN:540 ADC:375 APA:2527 APC:885,988 CPP:1,553 HOPE:337 KOWA:423 NCP:548 PDP:142,904 PPN:853 UDP:338 UPP:197


LGAs: 34 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 2,842,741 ACCR VOTERS: 1,578,646 AA:183 AD:283 ACPN:402 ADC:498 APA:1671 APC:1,345,441 CPP:976 HOPE:47 KOWA:215 NCP:330 PDP:98,937 PPN:254 UDP:117 UPP:72


LGAs: 16 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,181,032 ACCR VOTERS: 489,360 AA:248 AD:520 ACPN:817 ADC:438 APA:1165 APC:302,146 CPP:910 HOPE:118 KOWA:214 NCP:394 PDP:132,602 PPN:325 UDP:81 UPP:102


LGAs: 23 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 3,361,793 ACCR VOTERS: 1,746,031 AA:218 AD:273 ACPN:424 ADC:546 APA:1611 APC:1,127,760 CPP:824 HOPE:105 KOWA:176 NCP:754 PDP:484,085 PPN:549 UDP:79 UPP:78


LGAs: 21 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,963,427 ACCR VOTERS: 774,430 AA:547 AD:475 ACPN:1259 ADC:534 APA:2303 APC:17,926 CPP:1279 HOPE:357 KOWA:311 NCP:887 PDP:660,762 PPN:537 UDP:286 UPP:1121


LGAs: 17 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES:14 REG. VOTERS:1,349,134 ACCR VOTERS:442,538 AA:315 AD:448 ACPN:2194 ADC:569 APA:2766 APC:13,394 CPP:1046 HOPE:125 KOWA:173 NCP:745 PDP:368,303 PPN:424 UDP:213 UPP:330

Akwa Ibom

LGAs: 31 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS:  1,644,481 ACCR VOTERS: 1,074,070

AA: 1600 AD: 474 ACPN: 443 ADC: 608 APA: 384 APC: 58,411 CPP: 412 HOPE: 192 KOWA: 160NCP: 381 PDP: 953,304 PPN: 324 UDP: 224 UPP: 144


LGAs: 27 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,747,681 ACCR VOTERS: 801,712

AA: 533 AD: 757 ACPN: 956 ADC: 1617 APA: 2236 APC: 133,253 CPP: 733 HOPE: 157 KOWA: 158 NCP:784 PDP: 559,185 PPN: 414 UDP: 264 UPP: 1917


LGAs: 17 NO of POLITICAL PARTIES: 14 REG. VOTERS: 1,977,211 ACCR VOTERS: 1,076,833 AA: 178 AD: 279 ACPN: 391 ADC: 406 APA: 618 APC: 429,140 CPP: 237 HOPE: 56 KOWA: 138 NCP: 693 PDP: 549,615 PPN: 554 UDP: 54 UPP:29


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  • ogogome

    I dey laugh. Did you see Jonathan packing his personal belongings?
    Somebody that wants to make history as the first defeated incumbent
    President would have been packing his shoes and shirts since yesterday.

    • tundemash

      He’s paddling his way to Otuoke.

      • Dan Arewa

        Thank you very much for the pix. But I need another one that will be inscribed on it ‘WELCOME TO KIRIKIRI MAXIMUM SECURITY PRISON’.


          Sorry I couldn’t find one of Jonathan in Kirikiri but I found out what he would look like after spending 20 years in jail

      • Spear Of Truth

        See the yansh of our ex- President!

  • Sword of Damocles

    Sai Mai Gaskiya. Nigeria to borrow from the words of Abraham Lincoln has experienced a new birth of freedom. Indeed diaris a God

  • Yasin

    PDP is disrupting announcements. INEC did not anticipate this?!
    INEC has no security to remove the nuisance?
    INEC is bloody incompetent?
    In the face of the entire globe?
    There could be a coup if things degenerate.

    • Concerned

      INEC has proven itself superior to PDP by not succumbing to attempts to create chaos

  • Enemona

    Ye!, owo wogbo!

  • Maitama Tambari

    Blessed FREEDOM TRAIN to arrive its destination pretty soon with its blessed passengers. FREEDOM!

  • Tunsj

    Nigerians are free at last from these rogues. Kirikiri prison is going to have a lot of new occupants.

  • newsbreak


    Buhari’s lead in the poll collapses to mere ½ a million

    Muhammadu Buhari who was leading in the polls yesterday with 2,000,056 votes
    fell dramatically today as Goodluck Jonathan got a commanding 1.487,000 million votes
    in Rivers State where Buhari scored a mere 60,538; equivalent to 4%, and also lost
    his deposit in Rivers state where his Director of Campaign (Rotimi Amaechi) is governor.

    • Aparicion De La Todocampista

      Go and find an atlas, you’ll see why GMB has already won.

      • Dan Arewa

        That is if he has one.

    • burning spear


  • Aparicion De La Todocampista

    Let’s wait for the PDPs next scheme, I doubt they’ll give up this easily.

    • TKBaba

      No more scheme can save Jona now…

      • Aparicion De La Todocampista

        Let him try, we’re ready to give him the Gbagbo treatment.

  • burning spear

    do these APC agents who go about projecting buhari as the president-elect have any brain left in them–at all?—-if INEC is the only body allowed to lie their way into the hearts and minds of Nigerians– why is it that as a media house- u do not want to follow the ethics of your callings—-aware PT was created by APC sha–but u should not give room to any suspicion—or bias in the discharge of your obligation to society_-Besides where are the kids who voted for buhari—we are yet to see them here on your website—why-is Buhari still having the lead of 2m———–as earlier announced by u? And–does he have the national spread—in the south south and southeast’? I sthis another form of Yariba journalism or what

    • Dan Arewa

      You will burn for the rest of your life because you will never see what you want to see again. Boko Hara president is going down with his drug barons Boko Haram financiers, money launderers and all the fanatics.

    • TKBaba

      Please don’t cry….The game is over…

    • D1

      Deri, for once be humble in your defeat and accept it wholeheartedly. Making incorrigible and thoughtless comments all over the blog is not the way and won’t change the fact your boss has lost.
      On one hand, you blame the different tribes for Dumbo’s defeat at the poll, forgetting he, alone is responsible for his political demise.
      STOP THE CRAZINESS AND RANTINGS, and smell the coffee. End of the crumbies!

    • Spear Of Truth

      President Jonathan speaking thru burning spear , can you speak with reference to the constitution please? Since you exercised your right to contest under the law, you must be bound by that same law. What do you think outgoing President Jonathan?

    • kippz

      Please understand politics. come 2019, you can simply Convince majority of Nigerians to vote for GEJ again if they want to…Convince oo….not by Force as your brainy ideology dictates politics to you as i can see.
      but i am definately sure that PDP as a party will never allow GEJ be their Leader again….so u see why he failed as a President?. Calm down pls & take Heart. Chrs.

  • Concerned

    Sai Buhari
    Diar is God o!

  • Reaction Time

    Questions discerning Nigerians MUST now bother about if the unexpected happens:

    1. Are there poor & uneducated people in the Niger Delta?
    2. Do these poor people have a right to protest their neglect as Boko haram did?
    3. Will they have the capacity to make the country ungovernable for the next 4yrs?
    4. Will the South accept the Northern President, given that they rejected a Southern President?
    5. Will the South allow the central govt access to its resources?
    6. Is this going to be another 4yr insurgency to force whoever is there to submission?

    A dangerous precedent is been set. And those who orchestrated it might end up biting their lips forever. Is this the end of Nigeria? Or the beginning of the end?

    Bye for now!