Scientists predict unusually warm climate from 2018 to 2022

Japan on map
Japan on map (Photo Credit: Operation World)

Scientists on Tuesday predicted that the years 2018 to 2022 are going to be an “anomalously warm’’ period, with greater chance of extreme temperatures.

“The current climate has a large likelihood to reach a warmer-than-normal period over the next five years on top of the forced global warming trend,’’ said the study by British and Dutch researchers based on a probabilistic forecast system.

The study, published in science journal Nature Communications, said the trend will reinforce current long-term global warming trends.

The prediction comes as a severe and prolonged heatwave sweeps the northern hemisphere.

The researchers say they have developed a statistical model that provides reliable predictions of global mean air and sea surface temperatures in a few hundredths of a second, on a laptop.

It takes into account external forces affecting global mean surface temperature, such as greenhouse gases and aerosols, which follow certain socio-economic scenarios, as well as natural variability, which is harder to predict, they said in a statement.

Classical forecast systems give comprehensive climate data in a single prediction, but are costly due to the need for supercomputers.

The system can be adjusted to predict other climate measures, such as precipitation, and to focus on various regions, the researchers said.

(dpa/NAN)

 

Support PREMIUM TIMES' journalism of integrity and credibility

 

Good journalism costs a lot of money. Yet only good journalism can ensure the possibility of a good society, an accountable democracy, and a transparent government.

For continued free access to the best investigative journalism in the country we ask you to consider making a modest support to this noble endeavour.

By contributing to PREMIUM TIMES, you are helping to sustain a journalism of relevance and ensuring it remains free and available to all.

Donate


NEVER MISS A THING AGAIN! Subscribe to our newsletter

* indicates required

DOWNLOAD THE PREMIUM TIMES MOBILE APP

Now available on

  Premium Times Android mobile applicationPremium Times iOS mobile applicationPremium Times blackberry mobile applicationPremium Times windows mobile application

TEXT AD: This space is available for a Text_Ad.. Call Willie on +2347088095401 for more information


All rights reserved. This material and any other material on this platform may not be reproduced, published, broadcast, written or distributed in full or in part, without written permission from PREMIUM TIMES.